2023 Outlook: Analysts Predict Another ‘Stable’ Year for Health Insurers

This year, a variety of headwinds and tailwinds are likely to buffet the health insurance industry, including inflation, a possible recession, the return of Medicaid eligibility checks, potential policy changes in Medicare Advantage, a split Congress, easing COVID costs and more. But the net effect of all those factors is likely to leave the sector on stable footing, analysts tell AIS Health.

“The tailwinds and headwinds change every year — that’s the case again for ’23. Overall, we think it’s balanced; that’s why we have a stable view,” says James Sung, associate director of insurance at S&P Global Ratings.

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Leslie Small

Leslie Small

Leslie has been working in journalism since 2009 and reporting on the health care industry since 2014. She has covered the many ups and downs of the Affordable Care Act exchanges, the failed health insurer mega-mergers, and hundreds of other storylines spanning subjects such as Medicaid managed care, Medicare Advantage, employer-sponsored insurance, and prescription drug coverage. As the managing editor of Health Plan Weekly and Radar on Drug Benefits, she writes and edits for both publications while overseeing a small team of reporters who also focus on the managed care sector. Before joining AIS Health, she was a senior editor for the e-newsletter Fierce Health Payer, and she started her career as a copy editor at multiple local newspapers. She graduated with a dual degree in journalism and political science from Penn State University.

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