Despite worrying macroeconomic trends, health insurers have done well this year so far, with all the largest publicly traded health insurance firms posting year-over-year earnings growth in the first half of 2022. Experts tell AIS Health, a division of MMIT, that they don’t expect health insurers to struggle despite ominous signs across the economy.
Those headwinds include inflation; a possible recession, which could decimate employer-based insurance enrollment; medical cost growth; and the resumption of Medicaid eligibility redeterminations, which will force unprecedented amounts of disenrollment. But experts say that insurers with a mix of business lines should be in a strong financial position. The largest risk is likely to insurers that carry a coverage mix disproportionately focused on the commercial market.