Health Insurers Could See Net Gain From COVID-19 Pandemic
The estimated costs for treating COVID-19 could range from $60.2 billion to $182.2 billion over 2020 and 2021 combined, under a baseline risk scenario with a U.S. infection rate of 20%, according to an updated analysis prepared by Wakely Consulting Group on behalf of America’s Health Insurance Plans. The actuarial firm reduced the assumed rates of hospitalization and raised the estimated cost of a hospital admission based on new COVID-19 costs and utilization data. Factoring in the effect of care deferred by patients due to the pandemic, Wakely estimated that the net cost of COVID-19, under a 20% infection-rate scenario, would be -$71.0 billion to $13.8 billion for 2020 and 2021 combined.