2025 MA Bid Cycle Was ‘Wild Ride’ That Could Lead to Market Exits, Actuaries Say
Compounded by known challenges in estimating Medicare Part D costs stemming from the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), the process of finalizing Medicare Advantage insurers’ bids for the 2025 plan year was an “extra wild ride” due to a variety of unknowns, according to Matt Kranovich, principal and consulting actuary with Milliman. And while national insurers in recent months have publicly disclosed their intent to skinny down their MA offerings through things like benefit adjustments and strategic exits, similar reactions to revenue headwinds may play out across the country and lead to more market consolidation than CMS would care to see, warns Tim Murray, principal with Wakely, an HMA company.