Humana Disputes OIG’s Audit, Questions Use of Sampling

Recently released findings from an HHS Office of Inspector General (OIG) audit of Humana Inc.’s Medicare Advantage risk adjustment data may put new pressure on CMS to start extrapolating the results of its contract-level Risk Adjustment Data Validation (RADV) audits. Using its own extrapolation methodology, OIG determined that Humana received nearly $200 million in net overpayments for a contract that served some 485,000 enrollees — a finding that is vigorously disputed by Humana and adds to the ongoing debate over the use of sampling to approximate a plan’s true payment error rate.

CMS for nearly two decades has been conducting contract-level RADV audits to verify the accuracy of payments made to MAOs and recover improper payments, but it has yet to finalize the use of an extrapolation methodology that insurers have argued will lead to inflated audit recoveries. The Trump administration in a November 2018 proposed rule (83 Fed. Reg. 54982, Nov. 1, 2018) said it planned to extrapolate audit results without the use of a “fee-for-service adjuster” (FFSA), then left that provision out of its late-term rulemaking blitz. The adjuster, included in a 2012 proposal, would have accounted for inaccurate diagnosis codes in FFS Medicare data used to calibrate the MA risk adjustment model.

© 2025 MMIT
Lauren Flynn Kelly

Lauren Flynn Kelly Managing Editor, Radar on Medicare Advantage

Lauren has been covering health business issues since the early 2000s and specializes in in-depth reporting on Medicare Advantage, managed Medicaid and Medicare Part D. She also possesses a deep understanding of the complex world of pharmacy benefit management, having written AIS Health’s Radar on Drug Benefits from 2004 to 2005 and again from 2011 to 2016. In addition to her role as managing editor of Radar on Medicare Advantage, she oversees AIS Health’s publications and manages the health editorial staff. She graduated from Vassar College with a B.A. in English.

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