What’s Driving ACA Premium Increases in 2025?

Affordable Care Act exchange insurers proposed a median premium increase of 7% in 2025, with most falling between a 0% and 10% increase, according to an analysis by Peterson-KFF Health System Tracker.

Among the 324 ACA exchange insurers across 50 states and Washington, D.C., that were included in KFF’s analysis, proposed premium changes ranged from a drop of -14% to a jump of 51%. And while 50 of the health plans proposed decreasing premiums, 85 requested rate increases greater than 10%.

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MCO Stock Performance, July 2024

Here’s how major health insurers’ stock performed in July 2024. UnitedHealth Group had the highest closing stock price among major commercial insurers as of July 31, 2024, at $576.16. Humana Inc. had the highest closing stock price among major Medicare insurers at $361.61.

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Insurers Invest in Generative AI, but Long-Term Impact Remains Uncertain

Health insurers, like most companies, are experimenting with how to incorporate artificial intelligence into their work processes to help them make more timely decisions, cut costs, improve profitability and help members. While it is still early to assess how AI will be most effective, plans should make sure they apply AI in an ethical manner and involve multiple stakeholders in any efforts, according to three executives who spoke during a July 26 webinar sponsored by consulting firm ZS.

Onyinyechi Daniel, Ph.D., who until recently was Highmark Health’s vice president of data and analytics strategy, noted that using AI was “nothing new” for employees in companies’ data and analytics departments. But she added that “the onset of generative AI brought a lot more visibility and really amplified efforts,” especially among executives who are leading the charge in pushing for the adoption of AI throughout their organizations.

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Aetna, Kaiser Owe the Most in ACA Risk Adjustment Program

Participants in the Affordable Care Act risk adjustment program will pay a record $10.3 billion for the 2023 benefit year, according to CMS. CVS Health Corp.’s Aetna is estimated to owe the highest amount, while several not-for-profit Blue Cross Blue Shield plans are slated to receive significant payments.

The ACA’s risk adjustment program, launched in 2014, transfers funds from insurers that cover lower-risk enrollees to insurers that cover higher-cost and higher-risk populations in the individual and small group health insurance markets.

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MCO Stock Performance, June 2024

Here’s how major health insurers’ stock performed in June 2024. Elevance Health, Inc. had the highest closing stock price among major commercial insurers as of June 28, 2024, at $541.86. Humana Inc. had the highest closing stock price among major Medicare insurers at $373.65.

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An Overview of Medicare Part D Enrollment, Costs in 2024

Medicare Advantage Prescription Drug plans (MA-PDs) continued to gain more enrollees than stand-alone Prescription Drug Plans (PDPs) in 2024, according to a KFF analysis.

As of 2024, about 53.1 million Medicare beneficiaries were enrolled in a plan with Part D prescription drug coverage, with 57% in MA-PDs and 43% in stand-alone PDPs. Two-thirds of enrollees receiving the low-income subsidies (LIS) — 9 million out of 13.7 million — chose MA-PDs in 2024. Among the 14 national PDPs, 11 of them lost non-LIS enrollees, with only Wellcare Value Script seeing significant membership growth (from 2.6 million to 3.7 million) due to its low monthly premium.

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Study Outlines Limits on Medicaid-to-ACA-Plan Pipeline

As states resumed their Medicaid eligibility redeterminations last spring, some experts suggested that officials should prioritize helping Medicaid managed care (MMC) enrollees who were losing coverage enroll in a plan from the same carrier in the Affordable Care Act (ACA) individual marketplace. Private insurers like Centene Corp. have also emphasized this strategy, with the goal of stemming member attrition. However, a new study from Health Affairs suggests that “a within-carrier transition is likely to be possible only for roughly half of Medicaid managed care enrollees.”

By examining Clarivate’s InterStudy enrollment data from 2021, researchers found that in 2021, 52.1% of MMC members were enrolled by a carrier that also had a plan on the ACA marketplace in the same county. Among all MMC enrollees, 24.5% were in counties where the largest insurer was the same in both Medicaid and the ACA marketplace. In 10.3% of the 2,625 counties with MMC, all MMC enrollees were in a plan offered by an insurer that also had a marketplace plan.

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An Overview of Medicare Part D Enrollment, Costs in 2024

Medicare Advantage Prescription Drug plans (MA-PDs) continued to gain more enrollees than stand-alone Prescription Drug Plans (PDPs) in 2024, according to a KFF analysis.

As of 2024, about 53.1 million Medicare beneficiaries were enrolled in a plan with Part D prescription drug coverage, with 57% in MA-PDs and 43% in stand-alone PDPs. Two-thirds of enrollees receiving the low-income subsidies (LIS) — 9 million out of 13.7 million — chose MA-PDs in 2024. Among the 14 national PDPs, 11 of them lost non-LIS enrollees, with only Wellcare Value Script seeing significant membership growth (from 2.6 million to 3.7 million) due to its low monthly premium.

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Health Care Coverage, Spending Trends Diverge Among Payers as COVID-Related Policies Expire

The share of people without health insurance coverage reached an all-time low of 7.2% in 2023 but is projected to rise to 8.9% in 2034, according to the Congressional Budget Office.

The increase in the uninsured rate was largely due to the end of Medicaid’s continuous eligibility provisions in 2023 and 2024, the expiration of enhanced subsidies available through the Affordable Care Act (ACA) marketplaces after 2025 and a surge in immigration that began in 2022, observed the CBO in a report posted June 18.

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Elevance: AI Can Cure Provider Directory Headaches

While use cases for artificial intelligence are still largely being tested in health care, AI may be helpful right now for health plans seeking to manage their provider directories — a troublesome task that even the largest payers struggle to handle.

“There’s a lot of hype here, and really, so far, not much has really materialized,” said Neel Butala, M.D., cofounder of HiLabs, during a June 25 AHIP webinar.

“However, there’s a big appetite [for AI]…everything ranging from automating administrative tasks, apps, data analytics, to risk prediction, and even you know, personalized medicine. AI has applications in each of these buckets with varying ranges of maturity. And we feel, right now at least, that the easiest thing for people to engage AI in right now is automating administrative tasks. And this is because it improves efficiency; has direct, easily measurable ROI; and it’s pretty low risk for health plans in particular, as it's not really directly involved in member care. And finally, an easy win here can help any AI across an organization that can then be used…for other types of applications that are more advanced, that have a big impact.”

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