Managed Medicaid

After informing three local plans of its decision to ignore the findings of an administrative law judge (ALJ) and move forward with statewide long-term care contracts awarded to Centene Corp. and UnitedHealth Group, the Arizona Health Care Cost Containment System (AHCCCS) on Sept. 12 in a surprise move extended existing agreements for one year. “Members continue to be the agency’s primary focus throughout this process,” stated AHCCCS, just days after insisting that its procurement process was applied “fairly to all bidders, including the non-awarded health plans.”

In the “Director’s Decision” posted Sept. 9, however, the state Medicaid agency said it was denying the appeals of Mercy Care, Blue Cross Blue Shield of Arizona, and Banner-University Family Care, and it defended its request for proposals (RFP) process, which the ALJ concluded was flawed and should be redone. That was after, according to a statement from AHCCCS, more than one managed care organization “submitted additional information for the Director to consider following the ALJ’s Decision.” AHCCCS said that information was “neither reviewed nor considered in developing the Director’s Decision.”

Elevance Health, Inc. has agreed to acquire Indiana University Health Plans, according to a Sept. 10 press release. IU Health Plans, a subsidiary of Indiana University Health, has 19,000 Medicare Advantage members and 12,000 fully insured commercial beneficiaries. It will become a part of Anthem Blue Cross and Blue Shield in Indiana, which is Elevance’s insurance affiliate in the state. The deal is subject to customary closing conditions and is expected to close by the end of the year.

During the Wells Fargo Healthcare Conference on Sept. 4, executives from Centene Corp. and Humana Inc. shared new details about how the headwinds facing their Medicaid and Medicare businesses are expected to play out. And within those updates, there was both good and bad news.

Centene Chief Financial Officer Drew Asher said during his presentation that the firm is “continuing to get Medicaid pressure,” largely due to the resumption of routine eligibility checks that restarted last spring after a multiyear pause during the COVID-19 pandemic. Centene discussed the issue at length during its second-quarter earnings call in July, “and so you might ask, all right, what’s changed in the last month and a half?” Asher said. 

A California law designed to help people transition from the state’s Medi-Cal Medicaid program to Affordable Care Act exchange plans has been successful at keeping people insured since its launch last year, according to a recent report from the nonprofit California Health Care Foundation. JoAnn Volk, the study’s lead author, tells AIS Health the analysis is based on “early data,” so it is too soon to draw any long-term conclusions, although she noted that insurers have praised the rollout.

Starting in July 2023, people in California who lost Medi-Cal coverage could opt to be automatically enrolled in Covered California, the state’s marketplace. Those people were enrolled in a zero-premium or subsidized marketplace plan as the default option, although they also had the chance to opt out of coverage or select a different plan.

After major insurers reported second-quarter financial results that reflected continued medical cost pressure in the government business, analysts revisited their takes on expectations for CVS Health Corp.’s Aetna, Centene Corp. and industry peers. Two notable factors driving some of the headwinds in the back half of the year are the 2025 Medicare Annual Election Period (AEP), which kicks off on Oct. 15, and the impact of Medicaid redeterminations. The latter was of particular concern to analysts after Sept. 4, when Centene provided an update at the Wells Fargo Healthcare Conference signaling lower-than-expected Medicaid enrollment.

For managed care organizations with a large Medicaid footprint, the consistent takeaway for Barclays after second-quarter earnings reports was “incremental trend pressure relative to current expectations,” stemming from redeterminations picking up in the first half of the year “that put increased acuity pressure on state rates,” wrote equity research analysts on Aug. 22. “From here, membership should start to stabilize, which is the first step toward recovery.”

With both the Republican and Democratic conventions now finished and a little over two months until the U.S. presidential election, speculation over how nominees Kamala Harris or Donald Trump would influence health policy is beginning to heat up. To that end, Harris’ recent release of her economic policy outline has offered more clues about her highest priorities — while one former Trump administration official says he expects Republicans to largely avoid health care issues during the campaign.

“Just to be very clear, I think on the Republican side, you’re still not going to see much emphasis on health care,” Alex Azar, who was secretary of HHS under Trump, said during an Aug. 14 webinar hosted by Avalere Health. “President Trump is known to not just read from a teleprompter, so who knows,” he added, but it’s more likely that issues like inflation and immigration will be in the spotlight.

With tens of millions of enrollees now dropped from the Medicaid rolls, a group of 189 health care organizations have taken another step they hope will add permanency to the program. The coalition, organized by the Association for Community Affiliated Plans (ACAP) and Families USA, sent a letter on Aug. 13 to congressional leaders calling for 12-month continuous enrollment for adults enrolled in Medicaid and the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP).

They asked for support of the Stabilize Medicaid and CHIP Coverage Act, which was introduced in the House by Rep. Debbie Dingell (D-Mich.) in September 2023 and in the Senate by Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) the next month.

So far, 2024 has proven to be an eventful year for publicly traded health insurers — and not always in a good way.

Indeed, during the most recent quarter CVS Health Corp. made waves by adjusting its earnings outlook downward for the third time this year and dismissing the short-tenured president of its Aetna health benefits division due to ongoing Medicare cost pressures.

Other publicly traded firms, including Humana Inc. and Elevance Health, Inc., offered better second-quarter performances, but still saw their share prices fall amid investors’ concerns about how medical costs will shake out in the second half.

After an administrative law judge (ALJ) agreed with protesters that the Arizona Health Care Cost Containment System (AHCCCS) used an “arbitrary and flawed procurement process” that involved the use of undisclosed scoring criteria when awarding new contracts for the Arizona Long Term Care System (ALTCS), the implementation of the new pacts is on hold. AHCCCS on Aug. 13 said it is “pausing member transition activities” related to the new contracts that were scheduled to begin Oct. 1 and initially awarded to subsidiaries of Centene Corp. and UnitedHealthcare (UHC).

AHCCCS has 30 days to accept, modify or reject the ALJ’s decision, which was issued Aug. 9. The agency said it is “currently in the process of reviewing” the decision.

As evidenced by hotly contested Medicaid contract awards in Florida, Kansas and Texas this year, local and regional health plans are increasingly being shut out of opportunities to serve enrollees in their communities. And though a recent administrative law judge decision in Arizona suggests the winds could be changing, community plans need to become more strategic about their approach to procurements, says one industry expert.

Beyond the headlines, “so much more has happened in the Medicaid space than the eligibility redetermination process,” says Clay Farris, founder and practice lead of client solutions at Mostly Medicaid, which offers advisory services to community plans and other stakeholders across the Medicaid continuum. He is referring to the so-called unwinding of policies that were in place during the COVID-19 public health emergency, when a yearslong pause on routine eligibility checks led Medicaid and Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP) enrollment to hit an unprecedented 94 million in March 2023. As of Aug. 1, at least 24.8 million people had been disenrolled from Medicaid because of redeterminations, KFF reports.